Shelter in place SIP 1

  我家老大去米国东部麻省读书,大一新生,第一年没得选,都得住校。

  一个月前还跟我商量三月中的春假怎么过,我跟她说,留在学校吧。她说,住校要交几十块。我回答:回来机票要几百哦。

  算数再不好,也能算清这笔经济账,所以孩子答应了。

  两个星期前,闺女说:妈妈,由于有新冠病毒,春假留在学校不用交钱了。

  孩子高兴得像多挣了一大笔。

  一个星期前,孩子再次联系:妈妈,学校要我们20号以前离校。

  What?

  这次我这个老妈不淡定了,疫情貌似有恶化的迹象,这时候坐飞机?学校疯了,想要学生们跟病毒亲密接触吗?所以准备研究一下亲自开车去接人的可能性。

  直线距离整整三千英里,三千英里!一英里1.7公里,4828公里,路再拐上几道弯,人吃吃饭睡睡觉上上厕所,车加加油啥的,那差不多就是一万里。

  地图给出的估算,自驾40个小时。

  妈妈咪呀,一天连续十个小时,还不得开四天?那还不得钢筋铁骨才行?估计开不到一半就得腰疼腿僵下不了车了吧?这简直是万里长城永不到的节奏啊。

  没办法,只能让孩子尽快订机票,当爸的看不惯当妈的只动嘴皮子不动手的样子,立马行动帮闺女订了飞机票,13号上完课,周末两天收拾东西,找储放空间,16号就可以打道回府,不等最后一天了。

  就看那染病人数的曲线,一天高过一天,早一天动身,就少一分跟病毒擦肩的可能。

  每天看着总统先生在白宫发言里安抚大家,这个病毒没啥、就是个大流感、会过去的,我这当妈的当老婆的就焦躁,他究竟从中国得到了什么样的数据?还是说也故意隐瞒?不知道症状轻的甚至没症状的都能传播吗?孩子天天去上课,先生每天坐捷运上班,哪个环境不是人挤人?我独自在家又如何,一人得病,全家没跑。

  前一阵子为了国内的家人,已经收集了一些信息,每天给他们灌输不要乱跑,老老实实呆家里,估计都快被我烦死了,直到家里封村了,大家都出不了家门,我才改为分析其他民生问题,像要不要屯东西,屯什么,屯多少合适之类的,再么就是研究对经济的影响,股市可能受到的冲击。

  当时跟先生商量,要不卖些股票吧?弄点儿现金放账号里,万一股市大跌,我们还有现金可以流通。先生一句“你知道要交多少税吗?” 一向不研究股票市场不管交税的我在先生面前毫无信用可言,咱还是闭嘴吧。

  我当时给国内家人的建议是存点粮食,多弄几种,黄豆和绿豆还可以发豆芽,至少要能撑到夏收吧。家人不屑:虽然出门不便,但每天还是有机会去超市的,买那么多粮食放家里等生虫子吗?好吧,这个建议就被枪毙了。

  我心想,等病毒大规模蔓延的时候,家里有存粮,不用出门就能有口饭吃有豆芽菜保命,为啥不行?很是不服气。可不服不行啊,只有我老妈听了我的话,买了一袋子大米,还被小辈笑话:你一个人屯这么大一袋子米,准备吃到啥时候?

  你们不听我的没关系,我坚信病毒终有一天会蔓延过来的,毕竟它的传播太诡异了。我自家先屯,屯一袋子大米、一袋子面粉,一袋子手纸,一箱子漂白剂,两箱子消毒纸巾,有这些至少可以忍到大家都不恐慌的时候,最多一俩星期,等到超市不再排长队不再断货了,我就可以出门去商店补货了。至此,我这口屯东西的气终于自鼓自泄了。

  有人问,咋不提口罩呢? 得有啊。前一阵子都买断货捐给国内了,市场上全是国内返销过来的高价货。算了,我屯自制口罩的视频。到时候真的需要戴口罩时,我用自制口罩!

  为此我还屯了两轱辘松紧绳,布嘛,屯了十来年了,都是给孩子们做东西剩下的一块一块的,满箱子,不缺。

  没口罩,我有别的可防疫,我屯了一瓶茶树精,每天在领口滴两滴,可以在脸前形成一个无形的防病毒面罩。有用吗?实话说,网上看到的,不知道。不过这个没几个钱,也不是内服,没什么坏处,是吧?味道还很醒脑。?

  我还给每人屯了含有苯酚成分的漱口水,名牌产品LISTERINE Original ,这个品牌的漱口水有好多种,只有黄颜色的才是有苯酚成分的。如果嫌贵的话,Amazon自家产品也是同样配方同一个味道的。

  你可能会问,为啥要买这个,武汉不是有个没能拿到行医执照的大夫说自己采用几个穴位注射稀释后的苯酚来治疗病人,并且没人死亡嘛。我查了查,这个苯酚是可以用来杀菌消毒的,咱用含苯酚合成物的能杀细菌病毒的漱口水,没危险也没坏处,试试何妨?

  我还买了一样东西,血氧量测试仪,万一染上病毒的话,可以测一测自己的血氧量,我试过几次,不同的手指头还有不同的数据呢,不过对同一根手指头它的数据挺稳,我觉得应该还可以,健康人的血氧量95%以上,我的几个手指在96-98之间,孩子们的99%。好像说百分之八十几就要小心了。

  前面几种还主要是消毒杀菌的,大家都已经知道了,这个病毒目前无药可医,主要是靠自身免疫力硬抗,其中有一种就是提高自身免疫力的,那就是印度人经常用到的turmeric(姜黄)。

  这个姜黄做成的保健品Costco有卖,不过现在也成了热销产品,就在药品区,能不能买到要凭运气。

我说的这几样东西长这样:

  买这些固然重要,还是得关注疫情,还得提醒更多人。

  我把自己收集到的论文综合了一下,用英文写信,起草一封不算很正规的电子邮件给教过我的研究生老师们,这些年一直都还跟他们有联系,这么大的事情,还是给他们提个醒比较好,尤其是老师里还有当了系主任的,他们的决定可影响着更多人的安危呐。

  好在先生是在IT行业,公司业务跟国内相关,大老板知道这个病毒的危害,让大家在家工作,不用通勤了,让我放下一半心。

  我这当妈的还是没闲着,这些天变身好学生,继续查找相关论文,研究这个病毒的尿性,希望能给本地的官员和学区领导提个醒。

  可能有人会问,市里和学区的事情,你算老几,有发言权吗?

  这就是中美的差别之一,很多市政府和学区的决定是受市民/家长影响的,他们的例行会议是公开的,每个人都能去听,还可以在征询意见时段发言。

  他们的电子信箱和电话也是公开的,你可以随时联系,我们市长连微信都有,很潮流吧?

  华人都知道这个病毒有多可怕,只有没听说过小道消息的总统和一般民众才觉得有啥可怕的,不就是一个flu吗,过了季节也就过去了,来就来吧。

  这可是要命的认知。所以知道而不吹哨子的话,不能算是这个群体的好群员,所以很多华人居民和家长都在呼吁,我当然也要出一份力。

  市里三月中马上要有St. Patrick Day的大型庆祝活动,这活动跟国内的庙会似的,所以得让市长知道问题的严重性,好在他有微信,还在一些邻居群里,比较容易联系,把论文一条条转给他就行。

  我们的学监和学委就不一样了,学监估计是被家长的电话和电邮轰得头疼,写信告诉家长们,你们得了infodemic,呼吁大家不要再看社交媒体上的文章了。

  这字我一开始我还不认识,不过猜也能猜出来,info,信息嘛,-demic,流行,他肯定是被家长转来的社交媒体上的流行信息轰头疼了,所以觉得大家都跟他一样,得了infodemic头疼病。

  为了引起他和学委的警觉,我找的可都是干货,那是正式发表的论文呐。

  前面说了,我们学监和学委已经开始忽略家长的意见了,提意见就得掷地有声才行,我很是费了些心思起草给他们的信件。

  这就是我3/11那天我发给学监和学委的信:

  Dr. Marken and board members,

  We are all aware of the anxiety caused by the coronavirus —COVID-19.

  With its rapidly spread Asia, Europe, now cross US, most parents started to concern their children’s health and safety at school, since the classroom is one of the most potential cluster infection places.

  I agree with Dr. Marken, we should not consume too much information spreading via social media, it might cause infodemic, so I usually listen to the front-line doctors’ interviews, check the official CDC or white house briefing.

  The more I listen and read, the more I think we need to do further preparation for a closing and online teaching.

  【Higher Risk on infection

  Following video is a combined clips from those briefings, it shows that even for adult, the most educated experts, it’s super hard to keep a good hygiene habits, not mention kids and young adults, once one kid get infected, it might spread more rapidly than other age groups:

  【Asymtomptomic transmission

  I’ve learned there are many cases worldwide that were caused by asymptomatic people, here is one study on paper: Presumed Asymptomatic Carrier Transmission of COVID-19 shows that transmission from an asymptomatic carrier is possible.(https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762028)

  This article is posted on Jama Network, from its wikipedia page, it shows “JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association is a peer-reviewed medical journal published 48 times a year by the American Medical Association. It publishes original research, reviews, and editorials covering all aspects of biomedicine.”

  It’s not a social media, it’s a biomedicine magazine, I treat it like “Nature” or “Cell”.

  【Disinfecting Efficiency

  This paper Air, Surface Environmental, and Personal Protective Equipment Contamination by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) From a Symptomatic Patient

  ( https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762692 )

  This paper suggested disinfecting the environment is necessary and sufficient. It also concluded that “Significant environmental contamination by patients with SARS-CoV-2 through respiratory droplets and fecal shedding suggests the environment as a potential medium of transmission and supports the need for strict adherence to environmental and hand hygiene.”

  Personal hygiene habits (avoid to touch our face/mouth/nose/eyes after touching knobs/handles or shaking hands) are a must now.

  I would strongly recommend from now on, teachers and students wipe their table/equipment surfaces before they settle down to use them once they switch classrooms and tables.

  I believe most of the parents are willing to donate disinfecting wipes to classrooms.

  【Long term effect

  This gene-related fact page “ACE2 angiotensin I converting enzyme 2 [ Homo sapiens (human)]” shows which organs contains the most of the ACE2 protein which the virus attacks:

  ( https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/gene/59272 )

  That’s why a lot of biomedical scientists or physicians believe why some people have abdominal discomfort and diarrhea symptoms (intestine got attacked), why some people have pneumonia and have difficulty to breath (lung got attacked), and why some people suddenly fall to the ground (heart got attacked).

  That page just showed us how a person’s body could be damaged.

  This paper (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30567-5/fulltext) shows how rapidly and broadly this virus can spread and how soon an infected person starts infect others.

  Note: the Lancet is a weekly peer-reviewed general medical journal. It is among the world’s oldest, most prestigious, and best known general medical journals., it’s not social media.

  Once a patient needs medical treatment, it might last a couple of weeks or even months for people in serious condition to recover. The patients waiting for medical treatment will rapidly pile up.

  Once the virus get widely spread in the community, it will cause big loss of medical stuff first if we don’t have enough preparation (the Seattle cases), when more patients start to seek medical care, it will worsen our whole medical system and cause it to collapse. Most people with existing conditions will find it hard to survive, especially the elders.

  It’s the time everyone needs to take action to prevent the worst thing from happening. So I think it’s also time for school district to take consideration for school closing or switching to online teaching.

  My elder daughter, who just graduated from DHS last year, will go home next Monday due to her college’s closure. Her school asks them to move out of school housing and take class online after the spring break, and don’t expect to come back this semester.

  I already discussed with her, she should be in quarantine once she gets home, no gathering with friends, no shopping, no public gym, even though she is not happy, but agreed that she should take this responsibility for the whole community, especially for this hard time.

  She also raised a valid question: I can only play with my sister at home, what if I get infected on my way home (it’s a day long 2-stop flight) and we are all unaware of the infection, will it be dangerous for her teachers and classmates if she still goes to school everyday?

  And finally I want to share this analysis, it shows us if we don’t take action now, how bad it will be later (yes, I am aware of that, it’s from social media, but the data it lists are from officially published sources):

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

  Thank you very much for your consideration. I don’t want to cause any panic or infodemic, just want the school district to get well prepared to avoid unnecessary loss.

  And thank you for all the hard work you’ve done, we really appreciate it.

  Stay safe and keep healthy.

  Sincerely,

  是不是条理清晰?每一段观点醒目,内容丰富?

  信是3/11发出去的,第二天也没回音,第三天(3/13)上午,突然收到一个学委的回信,大意是”谢谢你的来信,今天中午学委开会,会宣布我们的决定。“

  原文:Thank you for taking the time to share your concerns. I feel like the landscape continues to change dramatically with each day as it relates to this very serious situation. I also feel confident that our Superintendent and Board will come together today to make a decision to best support the safety of our students, staff and community.

  3/13中午,一直坚持要学生们正常上课的学区,在临时会议上做出决定,从下周起,学校关闭三周,而且没说有什么网课计划,计划细节周末安排。

  孩子爸埋怨我:瞧你多事?孩子们都放羊了。

  小命要紧唉,放三周假算什么,孩子在家也可以自学啊。不理之。

  3/15,周六,一切照旧。我还跟先生去逛了枪店去涨见识,又去了Costco买奶买菜买鸡蛋,上次屯的一袋面已经下去一半,干脆再来一袋子。

  那个瓶装水和手纸的地方空空如也,真没明白,咋会抢购手纸呢?好在我有先见之明,早早屯了一包,又有些理解屯手纸的,用光的时候还买不到,确实尴尬呀,到时候得提前买Costco卖的冲水坐垫了。

  第二天,3/16,周日,我开始为孩子回归做准备,把她的房间打扫干净,把所有用过的毛巾加漂白水高温洗涤,把大家的床上用品洗一遍。

  这一天很多州都在进行公共答疑,我一边干活一边听,从早上听到下午,白宫之后还听了纽约的。

  不比不知道,大家放在一起,一州接着一州,就能看出个高下来,政府官员对自家疫情知多少?对病毒知识知多少?对各方各面的考虑周全否?全摊在全国观众面前,一目了然,再加上在场记者提出的尖锐问题,几乎涵盖了方方面面。

  听完这些个briefing,反而让人感到安心不少。

  晚上还有好心情考虑老二的好朋友要过生日的事情,我跟对方的妈妈商量,能不能提前一天,明天,周一不用去上学,趁着我们家老大还没回来,再让孩子们一起哈皮半天?

  孩子们很高兴,周一可以一起玩一个下午了。

  我本来还想着老大回来,我们全家就自动隔离两周的,谁知周一一大早醒来,发现湾区好几个郡都宣布从周二3/17凌晨起“shelter in place“,一直到4/7,或者更长。有点儿近乎于封城的意思,政府呼吁大家没有急事儿,都老老实实家里蹲。

  This Order shall become effective at 12:01 a.m. on March 17, 2020 and will continue to be in effect until 11:59 p.m. on April 7, 2020, or until it is extended, rescinded, superseded, or amended in writing by the Health Officer.

  不知大家注意到没有,这个命令是卫生局官员签发的哦,不是county supervisor之类的人签发的。

  这个决定来得突然,很多人家都没准备,所以消息一出,很多超市就人满为患,排起了大长队,这些年大家都改为网购了,去年的黑色星期五(相当于国内的双十一)都没排起过这么长的队伍了。

  好在大部分的人还是很冷静的,不会囤积太多,而且商场也有了限购措施。只需买一两个星期的用量,蔬菜需要经常补充,不还得去?真的没必要一次囤积太多。

  我今天出门看了看,外边真冷清,真是没人,不远处的公园里,零零散散才四五个人在散步。

  据邻居群里还需跑到公司上班的人说在加州开高速从来没这么爽过。

  一切看似岁月静好,底下已经风起云涌。

打赏作者 (Paypal link) :码字不易,谢谢鼓励。一杯茶水钱,胜似千千万。